A system dynamics model for the German electricity market – model development and application

نویسندگان

  • T. Jäger
  • Tobias Jäger
  • Susanne Schmidt
چکیده

The aim of this paper is to present impact studies of economic and environment related constraints on the German electricity spot market. The analysis was carried out using the system dynamics based model for the German electricity market, called “Zertsim”. The model was applied for the first time in a workshop with entrepreneurs from the region of Karlsruhe in Germany. One result of the workshop was an order of factors impacting on the development of electricity prices and CO2 emissions. The most influential factors on high electricity prices are: 1) environmental constraints, 2) fuel prices, 3) electricity demand, and 4) extended operating time for nuclear power stations in Germany. Regarding CO2 emissions, the highest impacts came from: 1) environmental constraints, 2) extended operating time for nuclear power, 3) electricity demand and finally 4) fuel prices.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Transition in Iran’s Electricity Market Considering the Policies on Elimination of Electricity Subsidies: System Dynamics Application

Because of electricity subsidies, electricity price in Iran is much lower than its real value, and the growth of electricity demand is much more than its rational rate, which in turn implies ever increasing investment in the electricity section by the Government. Therefore, the recent Government policies are based on elimination of electricity subsidies, followed by commissioning complete elect...

متن کامل

Market Based Analysis of Natural Gas and Electricity Export via System Dynamics

By increasing the extraction of natural gas, its role in the restructured power systems is being expanded, due to its lower pollution. Iran has the second largest reserves of natural gas in the world and exports it to different countries. This paper represents long run analysis of natural gas export from Iran to Turkey as a case study, considering direct transfer and exporting via the power mar...

متن کامل

Forcasting Electricity Losses in Transmission and Distribution Grids: System Dynamics Approach Compared to Econometric Method

In this research, the factors affecting on electricity gap were examined in the electricity industry in Iran using the system dynamics approach compared to the econometric method. In the framework of the electricity gap prediction model, simulation of energy demand were investigated as well as its supply and effective factors. Analysis of the problems with these systems was very complicated bec...

متن کامل

Forcasting Electricity Losses in Transmission and Distribution Grids: System Dynamics Approach Compared to Econometric Method

In this research, the factors affecting on electricity gap were examined in the electricity industry in Iran using the system dynamics approach compared to the econometric method. In the framework of the electricity gap prediction model, simulation of energy demand were investigated as well as its supply and effective factors. Analysis of the problems with these systems was very complicated bec...

متن کامل

شبیه‌سازی تقاضای برق صنایع ایران با استفاده از سیستم داینامیک

Nowadays, electricity is one of the most significant infrastructures required for economic development of countries. Hence, predicting electricity demand is very important especially in industry as a major electricity-consuming sector. The majority of studies under the subject of electricity demand have been performed by econometrics and it is not possible to investigate the effect of different...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2009